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Post by snoggle on Mar 10, 2016 11:22:50 GMT
The National Infrastructure Commission, chaired by Lord Adonis, has issued two reports on London Transport investment. This is ahead of the Budget next week and was done at the request of the Chancellor. Perhaps unsurprisingly the key recommendation is that Crossrail 2 should be delivered as a priority scheme. www.gov.uk/government/publications/transport-for-a-world-city-a-national-infrastructure-commission-reportI've not read the recommendations / reports in detail but a quick skim shows they're as you might expect from Lord Adonis - lots of London funding, private sector involvement, linked large scale housing development. Interestingly there is a call for a review of the number of Z1 stations and to possibly delay the building of the New Southgate branch in North London.
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Post by norbitonflyer on Mar 10, 2016 12:02:47 GMT
. Interestingly there is a call for a review of the number of Z1 stations I couldn't find this suggestion. Why? How? (closing existing ones or making the zone smaller?) possibly delay the building of the New Southgate branch in North London. Thereby repeating the problem of the "Paddington Turnback" - but where? (Thameslink also has the problem of only having one head in the north but multiple routes in the south, which means a single dewirement at Cricklewood can paralyse all the southern branches)
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Post by snoggle on Mar 10, 2016 12:23:31 GMT
. Interestingly there is a call for a review of the number of Z1 stations I couldn't find this suggestion. Why? How? (closing existing ones or making the zone smaller?) possibly delay the building of the New Southgate branch in North London. Thereby repeating the problem of the "Paddington Turnback" - but where? (Thameslink also has the problem of only having one head in the north but multiple routes in the south, which means a single dewirement at Cricklewood can paralyse all the southern branches) Apologies - the text says "More work should also be done on the costs and benefits of individual central London stations." That reads to me as if some may be open to question but I accept that's my interpretation. The relevant text is in Recommendation 4 in the "Transport for a World City" report. One clear issue with not building the New Southgate branch is the possible loss of depot and siding space at the north end of the line. I'm not familiar enough with the land near the WAML to know if a depot and substantial sidings could be built there so you don't end up with an unbalanced fleet allocation and a lot of light running from the south in order to start services in the North.
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Post by norbitonflyer on Mar 10, 2016 12:40:52 GMT
More work should also be done on the costs and benefits of individual central London stations. I see now - I hadn't realised this suggestion was in the context of CR2, and is a suggestion to omit Chelsea and Angel. (sounds like a pair of Yuppies!) I think the latter might be a mistake, as it pushes even more people through Kings Cross who have no desire to be there, and removes one of the interchanges for the City, putting more pressure on CR1 and the interchange at Centre Point. As for Chelsea - has Adonis been got at by Felicity Kendall and her chums? It also makes nonsense of my proposed name of the Anglesea Line
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rincew1nd
Administrator
Junior Under-wizzard of quiz
Posts: 10,286
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Post by rincew1nd on Mar 17, 2016 18:55:21 GMT
Subsequent posts discussing the Thameslink project have been moved to their own thread here, so discussion in this thread can focus on the subject line.
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Post by snoggle on Apr 14, 2016 21:48:56 GMT
The Government have formally responded to the NIC report on London's transport development. www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/515995/gov_response_transport_for_a_world_city.pdfThey have accepted the recommendations from the NIC. This means the Govt will be looking for £4bn to be lopped off the cost of the scheme which must mean the New Southgate branch is dead and the prospect for some common sense like a station at Stoke Newington is also nil. Makes me wonder why the scheme sponsors wasted their time and public money in even evaluating the New Southgate branch for it now to be almost certainly dumped as a cost saving measure.
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Post by patrickb on Apr 14, 2016 22:59:44 GMT
I never quite grasped the concept of the New Southgate Branch. An expensive project such as Crossrail 2 needs to deliver some good results and therefore must be done properly. A proper railway that is both frequent and direct all the way through to Enfield (Via Tottenham Hale), will take lots of stress off the Victoria Line and help boost interest in the North and North East. Less is more in some context.
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Post by phil on Apr 16, 2016 17:11:39 GMT
I never quite grasped the concept of the New Southgate Branch. An expensive project such as Crossrail 2 needs to deliver some good results and therefore must be done properly. A proper railway that is both frequent and direct all the way through to Enfield (Via Tottenham Hale), will take lots of stress off the Victoria Line and help boost interest in the North and North East. Less is more in some context. The New Southgate branch was proposed to solve 3 issues Firstly there was a nice large plot of land next to the ECML which could be used as a depot Secondly, it would have provided extra capacity in the Wood Green area and taken some of the strain iff the Picadilly line. Thirdly, it provided a usefull TfL only stub (in the manor of Abbey Wood) to terminate services as sending all 24 up the lea valley is a waste. The big disadvantage is that the branch would be expensive to build (being mostly in tunnels) and more signifficantly it lacks a large revenue generating opportunity en-route. With the DfT / Treasury's insistence on lots of new, intensive development along the route being necessary to justify brand new construction and nothing like Canary Wharf (without that the Abbey Wood branch on CR1 would never have been approved) mid way along it, the Southgate branch performs badly on paper - even if though 99% of transport projects, including those where said paper figures look doubtful like the Scottish borders railway proposals, have turned out to be a massive success when built. What the abandonment of the New Southgate branch does do however is mean the requirement to totally rethink the depot strategy for CR2 plus the need to consider enhanced turnback facilities or the promotion of a different branch to replace the New Southgate option.
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Post by patrickb on Apr 16, 2016 19:52:34 GMT
I never quite grasped the concept of the New Southgate Branch. An expensive project such as Crossrail 2 needs to deliver some good results and therefore must be done properly. A proper railway that is both frequent and direct all the way through to Enfield (Via Tottenham Hale), will take lots of stress off the Victoria Line and help boost interest in the North and North East. Less is more in some context. The New Southgate branch was proposed to solve 3 issues Firstly there was a nice large plot of land next to the ECML which could be used as a depot Secondly, it would have provided extra capacity in the Wood Green area and taken some of the strain iff the Picadilly line. Thirdly, it provided a usefull TfL only stub (in the manor of Abbey Wood) to terminate services as sending all 24 up the lea valley is a waste. The big disadvantage is that the branch would be expensive to build (being mostly in tunnels) and more signifficantly it lacks a large revenue generating opportunity en-route. With the DfT / Treasury's insistence on lots of new, intensive development along the route being necessary to justify brand new construction and nothing like Canary Wharf (without that the Abbey Wood branch on CR1 would never have been approved) mid way along it, the Southgate branch performs badly on paper - even if though 99% of transport projects, including those where said paper figures look doubtful like the Scottish borders railway proposals, have turned out to be a massive success when built. What the abandonment of the New Southgate branch does do however is mean the requirement to totally rethink the depot strategy for CR2 plus the need to consider enhanced turnback facilities or the promotion of a different branch to replace the New Southgate option. There is miles of Brownfield Land between Tottenham Hale and Enfield, portions of it are left derelict. I myself used to travel along the WAML and the site was sewer, both in appearance and smell, it was worse when passing Angel Road. Whilst I agree that the Picadilly Line needs a relief line, it too will get an upgrade which will increase capacity. Why would sending all 24 trains up to Enfield be considered a waste? Surely we should be encouraging more people to travel by train in these outer boroughs. During the peaks, trains are stuffed with commuters and School children as a result of the countless number of schools near the line and all throughout the day many locals will travel to and from Tottenham Hale to either get to Westfield Statford or to Stanstead Airport.
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Post by norbitonflyer on Apr 16, 2016 21:18:47 GMT
Why would sending all 24 trains up to Enfield be considered a waste? . By Enfield I assume you mean the borough rather than Enfield proper, which is not served from the Lea Valley line. Whether or not it would be a waste, I doubt if you could run 24tph up the Lea Valley from XR2 and still provide a decent service to that line from Liverpool Street, let alone adding any from Stratford.
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Post by phil on Apr 19, 2016 7:51:39 GMT
The New Southgate branch was proposed to solve 3 issues Firstly there was a nice large plot of land next to the ECML which could be used as a depot Secondly, it would have provided extra capacity in the Wood Green area and taken some of the strain iff the Picadilly line. Thirdly, it provided a usefull TfL only stub (in the manor of Abbey Wood) to terminate services as sending all 24 up the lea valley is a waste. The big disadvantage is that the branch would be expensive to build (being mostly in tunnels) and more signifficantly it lacks a large revenue generating opportunity en-route. With the DfT / Treasury's insistence on lots of new, intensive development along the route being necessary to justify brand new construction and nothing like Canary Wharf (without that the Abbey Wood branch on CR1 would never have been approved) mid way along it, the Southgate branch performs badly on paper - even if though 99% of transport projects, including those where said paper figures look doubtful like the Scottish borders railway proposals, have turned out to be a massive success when built. What the abandonment of the New Southgate branch does do however is mean the requirement to totally rethink the depot strategy for CR2 plus the need to consider enhanced turnback facilities or the promotion of a different branch to replace the New Southgate option. There is miles of Brownfield Land between Tottenham Hale and Enfield, portions of it are left derelict. I myself used to travel along the WAML and the site was sewer, both in appearance and smell, it was worse when passing Angel Road. Whilst I agree that the Picadilly Line needs a relief line, it too will get an upgrade which will increase capacity. Why would sending all 24 trains up to Enfield be considered a waste? Surely we should be encouraging more people to travel by train in these outer boroughs. During the peaks, trains are stuffed with commuters and School children as a result of the countless number of schools near the line and all throughout the day many locals will travel to and from Tottenham Hale to either get to Westfield Statford or to Stanstead Airport. While that brownfield land could potentially be used for a depot strategy, train depots require large amounts if it in long and broad strips capable of processing fixed formation 12 car trains. Oddly spaced or smallish plots are of no use. By contrast housing developers are past masters at shoehorning buildings into pretty much any situation. Besides if you are going to send 24tph all the way up the Lea Valley you will need a serious number of travellers to fill the trains - which means lots of residential development. In this respect with reservoirs on one side and the Edmonton line a short distance to the west the potential number of passengers is not as great as with CR1 and the GEML. The thing is the current service along the Lea valley is overcrowded partly because the current infrastructure precludes a decent service being offered. Using that to justify a 24tph CR2 service is nonsense - the reason the GEML was an ideal outlet for CR1 was it already had a 6tph off peak and something like 10tph in the peaks with the trains being overcrowded. In some respects the STAR proposals are a useful stepping stone - the improved service the planned extra infrastructure allows will mean that the planners of CR2 will get a better idea of the potential revenue / costs further service upgrades under CR2 would generate. However we should also not forget that the NIC have not closed the door on another CR2 northern branch - they key being to find something that has low costs or has lots of redevelopment potential en route. It is unfortunate that the alignment of CR2 and topography dies not allow an easy connection onto the Edmonton / Endfield line as sending some CR2 trains there would make a lot of sense in terms of service frequency uplift. Thus while the Lea valley is indeed a sensible place for CR2 to aim for it does not follow that it is the best place to send all 24tph
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Post by patrickb on Apr 19, 2016 11:26:23 GMT
There is miles of Brownfield Land between Tottenham Hale and Enfield, portions of it are left derelict. I myself used to travel along the WAML and the site was sewer, both in appearance and smell, it was worse when passing Angel Road. Whilst I agree that the Picadilly Line needs a relief line, it too will get an upgrade which will increase capacity. Why would sending all 24 trains up to Enfield be considered a waste? Surely we should be encouraging more people to travel by train in these outer boroughs. During the peaks, trains are stuffed with commuters and School children as a result of the countless number of schools near the line and all throughout the day many locals will travel to and from Tottenham Hale to either get to Westfield Statford or to Stanstead Airport. While that brownfield land could potentially be used for a depot strategy, train depots require large amounts if it in long and broad strips capable of processing fixed formation 12 car trains. Oddly spaced or smallish plots are of no use. By contrast housing developers are past masters at shoehorning buildings into pretty much any situation. Besides if you are going to send 24tph all the way up the Lea Valley you will need a serious number of travellers to fill the trains - which means lots of residential development. In this respect with reservoirs on one side and the Edmonton line a short distance to the west the potential number of passengers is not as great as with CR1 and the GEML. The thing is the current service along the Lea valley is overcrowded partly because the current infrastructure precludes a decent service being offered. Using that to justify a 24tph CR2 service is nonsense - the reason the GEML was an ideal outlet for CR1 was it already had a 6tph off peak and something like 10tph in the peaks with the trains being overcrowded. In some respects the STAR proposals are a useful stepping stone - the improved service the planned extra infrastructure allows will mean that the planners of CR2 will get a better idea of the potential revenue / costs further service upgrades under CR2 would generate. However we should also not forget that the NIC have not closed the door on another CR2 northern branch - they key being to find something that has low costs or has lots of redevelopment potential en route. It is unfortunate that the alignment of CR2 and topography dies not allow an easy connection onto the Edmonton / Endfield line as sending some CR2 trains there would make a lot of sense in terms of service frequency uplift. Thus while the Lea valley is indeed a sensible place for CR2 to aim for it does not follow that it is the best place to send all 24tph As I said, Rail travel should be encouraged and will when part of the WAML turns from a crippled rail service into a frequent TfL service. The catchment area is greater than you think, the service will pull people in from Northumberland Park, Enfield Lock, Waltham Cross/Abbey, Harlow, Hoddesdon and Ware. There will be also frequent use of the service for people who want to reach Tottenham Hale. Also, the demand for Crossrail will supersede that of the Overground from Chingford and Enfield Branches in some areas because it will be a direct service that people will be willing walk the extra mile for. I traveled often from Seven Sisters to Enfield on the Overground, and I always wanted the fast service (this was in NX Days) simply because the journey took to long. Also, if you are going to have a second branch, where can it go where there isn't already a rail service?
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Post by phil on Apr 19, 2016 12:28:57 GMT
While that brownfield land could potentially be used for a depot strategy, train depots require large amounts if it in long and broad strips capable of processing fixed formation 12 car trains. Oddly spaced or smallish plots are of no use. By contrast housing developers are past masters at shoehorning buildings into pretty much any situation. Besides if you are going to send 24tph all the way up the Lea Valley you will need a serious number of travellers to fill the trains - which means lots of residential development. In this respect with reservoirs on one side and the Edmonton line a short distance to the west the potential number of passengers is not as great as with CR1 and the GEML. The thing is the current service along the Lea valley is overcrowded partly because the current infrastructure precludes a decent service being offered. Using that to justify a 24tph CR2 service is nonsense - the reason the GEML was an ideal outlet for CR1 was it already had a 6tph off peak and something like 10tph in the peaks with the trains being overcrowded. In some respects the STAR proposals are a useful stepping stone - the improved service the planned extra infrastructure allows will mean that the planners of CR2 will get a better idea of the potential revenue / costs further service upgrades under CR2 would generate. However we should also not forget that the NIC have not closed the door on another CR2 northern branch - they key being to find something that has low costs or has lots of redevelopment potential en route. It is unfortunate that the alignment of CR2 and topography dies not allow an easy connection onto the Edmonton / Endfield line as sending some CR2 trains there would make a lot of sense in terms of service frequency uplift. Thus while the Lea valley is indeed a sensible place for CR2 to aim for it does not follow that it is the best place to send all 24tph As I said, Rail travel should be encouraged and will when part of the WAML turns from a crippled rail service into a frequent TfL service. The catchment area is greater than you think, the service will pull people in from Northumberland Park, Enfield Lock, Waltham Cross/Abbey, Harlow, Hoddesdon and Ware. There will be also frequent use of the service for people who want to reach Tottenham Hale. Also, the demand for Crossrail will supersede that of the Overground from Chingford and Enfield Branches in some areas because it will be a direct service that people will be willing walk the extra mile for. I traveled often from Seven Sisters to Enfield on the Overground, and I always wanted the fast service (this was in NX Days) simply because the journey took to long. Also, if you are going to have a second branch, where can it go where there isn't already a rail service? All very valid points there, however we need to remember that the Treasury (as reflected in the NIC report) is insistent that there must be a high rate of return (i.e. lots of housing development) to fund any proposal. The Lea valley route is on the face of it a low cost option as regards a northern destination, but it would need a lot of development to justify a full 24tph all the way along it under Treasury rules. 12tph (which requires less infrastructure and more importantly less trains) and repeating the Paddington turnbacks found on CR1 at say Tottenham Hale on the other hand looks far better to the been counters who will determine whether the project goes ahead in the first place. My personal view where to send an alternative branch would be to either provide a connection to the Endfield and Chingford lines as well as the Lea valley - but that probably wouldn't meet the Treasuary's requirements for housing development.
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