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Post by andypurk on Oct 11, 2012 17:51:16 GMT
I've looked at their figures now.They expect a 50% increase in passenger numbers on that branch once the CRL opens. Now if, for the sake of argument, everyone who currently uses Watford Met still makes their journey using the new branch, and half of those find the new station to be closer, then they are actually only breaking even in terms of passenger convenience. The claim is that instead of 2,500 households being within 1Km of a station, 25,000 will be, that is a ten-fold increase. So why the discrepancy between access and predicted use? The majority of users already live more than a km from Watford Met (71% of the passengers being >10 mins away, however they get to the station). I also don't think that they are 'breaking even' in terms of convenience, as Cassiobury Park means that there will be less people close to the current station who will have a considerably longer walk at the new site. Additionally, a good 20% of the weekday passengers are children, the number of those heading to/from the Watford Boys' Grammar School isn't likely to rise significantly once the link is open.
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Post by mrjrt on Oct 11, 2012 20:46:30 GMT
Point made, but does anyone know why the outer extremities of various lines are carting around empty seats instead of being run with shorter configuration shuttles? OK, so it forms a through service, but is that value for money? As has been shown on the National Rail network when you withdraw through trains ridership decreases - This was a Beeching - Marples closure tool in the 1960's! XF Indeed - The former Croxley Green - Watford Junction shuttle's usage levels bearing testament to that.
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rincew1nd
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Post by rincew1nd on Oct 11, 2012 20:56:49 GMT
how many of us in this forum live within a 13min walk of a station? Not me, I blame Dr Beeching.
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mrfs42
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Post by mrfs42 on Oct 11, 2012 21:20:55 GMT
how many of us in this forum live within a 13min walk of a station? Not me, I blame Dr Beeching. I do - they both had elevated signalboxes until quite recently; however we are wandering a little off-topic here.
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Post by trt on Oct 12, 2012 9:15:36 GMT
As has been shown on the National Rail network when you withdraw through trains ridership decreases - This was a Beeching - Marples closure tool in the 1960's! XF Indeed - The former Croxley Green - Watford Junction shuttle's usage levels bearing testament to that. But there is precedent for a shuttle service. Mill Hill East runs direct services only during the peaks. Off-peak it is a frequent shuttle service, and the reason given is to improve reliability. Shuttle service isn't so bad if the interchange station has a frequent and reliable service.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 12, 2012 9:56:04 GMT
Mill Hill East is now an anomaly I wonder what its future holds?
I digress - a Watford Shuttle would cause operationally difficulties and would potentially recreate the Croxley Green - Watford Jct scenario!
XF
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Post by norbitonflyer on Oct 12, 2012 10:22:00 GMT
My latest post on the Watford Observer thread Where is the Watford Observer thread. I can find nothing on their website reporting yesterday, and the live coverage ends on Tuesday. Here's a thought - I would not be surprised to discover once the link is open that the bigger passenger flow to WJ is from the Rickmansworth direction - Harrow, Wembley and central London already have direct services to Watford Junction. There is almost certainly insufficient capacity through Watford HS to cope with an acceptable service frequency on both these flows as well as the Euston dc lines service, so why not have an Amersham (or (Aylesbury, or Chesham) to Watford Junction service and keep the existing Met service to the Cassiobury Park station, with same-platform interchange between the two available at Croxley? There has been talk of integrating the Abbey flyer with the Croxley link. Yes, it would look tidy, but is the cost justified by the amount of through traffic? I would imagine even if there were a direct St Albans - Rickmansworth service, he vast majority of its users would be joing or leaving it at Watford Junction, either as a destination in its own right or for interchange with LM, WCML, or dc lines services. (The same thing happens at Wimbledon on the Thameslink services - it is purely operating convenience which dicates that through services run between the Tooting line and the Sutton line).
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Post by Deleted on Oct 12, 2012 10:49:56 GMT
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Post by trt on Oct 12, 2012 12:02:23 GMT
I would not be surprised to discover once the link is open that the bigger passenger flow to WJ is from the Rickmansworth direction. To travel through WJ would entail a greatly increased ticket price. They could gate platforms 1-4(5) off, but then you could interchange to LOROL there at no premium. Mind you, if you are going to do that you might as well change at High Street...
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2012 0:29:36 GMT
Here's a thought - I would not be surprised to discover once the link is open that the bigger passenger flow to WJ is from the Rickmansworth direction Excuse my ignorance as I am not au fait with current Met service patterns, but as I understand it, only a few trains per day run over the North curve from the Rickmansworth direction at present. I don't think commuters from the 5 stations beyond Moor Park on the 'main' Met line would be too thrilled if they lost their direct service to Baker Street and had to change at Croxley every morning/evening. And if a percentage of existing Met 'main' line passengers want to go to London via Watford Junction, they'll be able to do so anyway once the CRL is in place, by changing at Moor Park. One thing that's just occurred to me, though, is how the schematic Tube map will maybe need some tweaking when the CRL has finally been built, and Met services start running to WJ. Otherwise, it'll show a lengthy purple line between Croxley and Watford Junction, and imply the journey is of a similar distance to that between Amersham and Moor Park (which itself is approximately 8.5 miles according to www.going-underground.net/ZonalMapWithMiles.gif !!!). The map of "London's Rail & Tube services" on the tfl site will exaggerate the distance between Croxley and WJ even more, making it appear to be of a distance similar to, say, Watford Junction to South Kenton, an 8-stations / 20min journey in the real world ;D
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Post by norbitonflyer on Oct 13, 2012 9:49:39 GMT
as I understand it, only a few trains per day run over the North curve from the Rickmansworth direction at present. Correct - but that's because the little traffic there is for Watford Met can by catered for by changing at Moor Park. Watford Junction will attract far more custom. I don't think commuters from the 5 stations beyond Moor Park on the 'main' Met line would be too thrilled if they lost their direct service to Baker Street and had to change at Croxley every morning/evening. Sorry if I wasn't clear - I was not suggesting any change to the Amersham/Chesham services. What I had in mind was that, instead of diverting the existing Watford service to run to Watford Junction, we kept the Baker Street - Watford service, and have a new service from Watford Junction to Rickmansworth (or some point north thereof). Passengers from Croxley still have their direct service to Baker Street, passengers at Ascot Road and Watford West can get to Harrow, Wembley and London by changing at either Croxley or Watford High Street using a same- or cross-platform interchange. One thing that's just occurred to me, though, is how the schematic Tube map will maybe need some tweaking when the CRL has finally been built, and Met services start running to WJ. Otherwise, it'll show a lengthy purple line between Croxley and Watford Junction, Like this? I would expect the two lines to Watford Junction would angle towards each other, as the top end of the DC lines could in any case do with a bit more room. Of course, the diagram (Beck never called it a map) is not intended to show representative distances, only how things are joined together.
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Post by mrjrt on Oct 13, 2012 10:56:47 GMT
Post Croxley link, I wonder if a major rebuild of Rickmansworth station might end up being worthwhile. That way, you could lengthen the platforms so Chiltern could stop longer trains there, add more platforms so the fast lines could be extended there, and have decent length bay platforms for terminal services.
That way, all services from the Watford direction could run to Rickmansworth and either run on to Chesham/Amersham/Aylesbury or terminate, and London-bound services could be concentrated on serving Ricky, making the most of the capacity available on both the mainline and the branch.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2012 11:18:39 GMT
Just been looking at the Watford North Curve and Rickmansworth to Watford question.
Although there was a Rickmansworth to Watford shuttle when the branch first opened this disappeared - not sure of the date. But I did remember there had been another service and dug out the May 2nd 1955 Met Line timetable. On Sundays there was roughly a 15 minute London to Watford service but with odd 30 minute gaps. About every other train was routed via Rickmansworth with a 4 minute reversal time. I have to assume this was to give Rickmansworth a better service rather than providing a Rickmansworth to Watford "shuttle" as the Sunday trains from London to Aylesbury were only every 45 minutes. And there were no Sunday British Railways trains from Marylebone to Aylesbury apart from the odd train going beyond Aylesbury and some of those only stopped at Harrow.
Is a Rickmansworth (or further north) service to Watford Junction viable? I would have to guess that at best it would be only every 30 minutes. Arriva have recently revamped their services between Rickmansworth to Watford to provide a more local service rather than relying on extensions to the longer distance 320/321 routes presumably to improve reliability. The combined service is every 10 minutes for most of the day. They pass the entrance to Croxley Business Park and some also go via Watford Hospital then go into Watford Town Centre thus running parallel to the Croxley Link. But they take at least 30 minutes whereas a train service would be around 15 mins. The 336 Amersham (or beyond) to Watford via Rickmansworth bus only runs every hour.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2012 14:34:16 GMT
Like this? I would expect the two lines to Watford Junction would angle towards each other, as the top end of the DC lines could in any case do with a bit more room. Surely the ex-Thameslink line from Farringdon to Moorgate should no longer be part of the diagram ? It's been closed for some time now. Of course, the diagram (Beck never called it a map) is not intended to show representative distances, only how things are joined together. Point taken
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Post by norbitonflyer on Oct 13, 2012 15:15:45 GMT
Indeed - that map is rather out of date and also shows a number of projects which have since been scrapped.
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Post by thc on Oct 14, 2012 17:49:05 GMT
Post Croxley link, I wonder if a major rebuild of Rickmansworth station might end up being worthwhile. That way, you could lengthen the platforms so Chiltern could stop longer trains there, add more platforms so the fast lines could be extended there, and have decent length bay platforms for terminal services. That way, all services from the Watford direction could run to Rickmansworth and either run on to Chesham/Amersham/Aylesbury or terminate, and London-bound services could be concentrated on serving Ricky, making the most of the capacity available on both the mainline and the branch. The operational change you propose is fanciful but the Ricky station rebuild was on the drawing board at least twice. The most recent chance was lost with the scrapping of the early-90s iteration of Crossrail, which promised a rebuild to a 4-track station on the straight line by the car park site. That car park site now of course is home to a Waitrose, further eroding any prospect of a Ricky rebuild. THC
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metman
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Post by metman on Oct 14, 2012 17:52:04 GMT
It would be very tough to extend the bay to operate any sort of shuttle to Watford MET. Rickmansworth is terrible to turn trains round and as you say it is now unlikely any alterations could be made.
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Post by trt on Oct 15, 2012 7:03:54 GMT
The evidence of case for operational matters indicates that under the improved met operations plan for 2018 they will need to reverse rather more trains at Rickmansworth than at the moment. I expect they will need to alter the track layout there in order to achieve this.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 15, 2012 15:23:26 GMT
When do we hear the result?
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Post by trt on Oct 15, 2012 16:09:03 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 15, 2012 17:11:38 GMT
What a motley bunch - Mr Fish and The Sea Cadets sounds like a Rock Band!
XF
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Post by trt on Oct 15, 2012 17:23:45 GMT
What a motley bunch - Mr Fish and The Sea Cadets sounds like a Rock Band! LOL French-Cinnamond sounds like a patisserie treat!
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Post by Deleted on Oct 15, 2012 17:46:26 GMT
Rickmansworth is terrible to turn trains round Certainly is Metman! A couple of Fridays ago Watford was shut down due to a failure, many Watford line trains coming across to Rickmansworth to reverse in amongst the service there, all during the PM peak......was a very interesting night
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metman
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Post by metman on Oct 15, 2012 18:35:07 GMT
I'd have reversed half of them at Northwood!
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Post by trt on Oct 16, 2012 8:36:21 GMT
Would you say there's enough space at Moor Park to put in reversing sidings between the tracks north and/or south of the station? Ignoring the signalling gear to the south, of course.
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metman
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Post by metman on Oct 16, 2012 16:53:12 GMT
Don't think so, although a cross over is planned to replace the one at Northwood in the future.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 16, 2012 19:24:34 GMT
I'd have reversed half of them at Northwood! That was going on as well! ;D
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metman
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Post by metman on Oct 16, 2012 19:43:59 GMT
Goodness! Well with trains terminating at Harrow?, Northwood and Ricky it must have been difficult. Can't even send them to Ruislip because the Picc uses that siding in the peaks. They would then had to have reversed at Rayners adding to the carnage. Perhaps the odd N-S wrong road at Rayners Lane may have helped. At least you don't have to kick out, just change ends and tell everyone to get off!
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Post by trt on Oct 17, 2012 8:55:03 GMT
Reversing at Ricky must be a nightmare. First, you'd have to detrain your Northbound terminating service on Platform 2 (Southbound), as the only cross over is to the south of the station. This means you'd have to wait for a gap in the southbound LU and Chiltern service. Then you'd have to change ends, blocking the Southbound line, whilst the punters board the train OR try and stop them boarding the train before you closed up and moved into the sidings to change ends. Nightmare!
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Post by Deleted on Mar 4, 2013 16:58:59 GMT
Quick north to south reverses at Ricky can be just that. One driver brings the train in to either platform, another boards south end of train and away he goes.
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