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Post by tubeprune on Jul 1, 2010 14:33:32 GMT
Published TfL papers state that they were expecting the contract with the preferred supplier for the new Picc. trains to be let 30th June according to programme. I doubt this happened since they are supposedly struggling to agree financial close with the Tube Lines group. Thus, the programme is now running late.
Questions: Is the preferred supplier Alstom? Is the number of new trains to be 92? What is the delivery programme?
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SE13
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Post by SE13 on Jul 1, 2010 17:44:30 GMT
The later the better, let's keep the 73's Isn't 92 units a lot? Just thinking about it, it only needs about 75 units in peak unless they are upping the frequency One for prjb me thinks
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metman
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Post by metman on Jul 1, 2010 17:46:22 GMT
The line is supposed to go ATO, hence why the number of trains is set to rise....
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SE13
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Post by SE13 on Jul 1, 2010 17:54:12 GMT
The line is supposed to go ATO, hence why the number of trains is set to rise.... Wasn't it supposed to go ATO in 1975? ;D
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Post by plasmid on Jul 1, 2010 21:57:42 GMT
Well this is a TubeLines line and looking at the way the other two lines have gone with Moving Block ATO I wouldn't be surprised if Alstom were the preferred supplier as there trains would be easier to configure.
Mind you though now that TFL is in charge they might just call up Bombardier and have them do the signalling and provide the trains as they know full well they are likely to succeed in completing the project on budget and on time. From the looks of things they have their hands full at the moment...
Unless Bombardier would like to keep the 73ts trains they refurbished and adapt them for ATO...now that would be good!
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Post by Deleted on Jul 1, 2010 22:12:19 GMT
There was talk amongst some managers of including the Piccadilly line signalling upgrade as part of the SSR at a later stage.
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Post by metuser on Jul 1, 2010 22:13:50 GMT
If the Pick is going to be ATO, I wonder how it will share tracks with the Met on the Uxbridge branch?
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Post by Deleted on Jul 1, 2010 22:26:35 GMT
If the Pick is going to be ATO, I wonder how it will share tracks with the Met on the Uxbridge branch? The orignal contract under PPP with TLL only included resignalling as far as South Harrow. They could of course install both types of ATO kit if they weren't the same.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2010 11:47:58 GMT
Well this is a TubeLines line and looking at the way the other two lines have gone with Moving Block ATO I wouldn't be surprised if Alstom were the preferred supplier as there trains would be easier to configure. Plenty of manufacturers (Alstom, Bombardier, Mitsubishi, Kinki Sharyo, and even Metro Cammell (RIP), etc) have built trains which contain ATO boxes for Seltrac. I cannot see any reason why the use of Seltrac will limit selection to a particular manufacturer.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2010 12:02:04 GMT
The later the better, let's keep the 73's Isn't 92 units a lot? Just thinking about it, it only needs about 75 units in peak unless they are upping the frequency One for prjb me thinks the Picc is currently a 79 train railway (from memory) in the Peaks also the change over trains each night total 6. Not sure whether the depots would have time to turn around post peak stablers into these 6 trains or not? factor in spares and you're looking at 85-87 trains. If you include the 6 changeover trains also, then it all adds up in my mind and hits the early 90's. there are presumably plans to increase the tph throught the pipe, as with most upgrade projects? Again, this may not cost more trains with improved signalling/headways/run times/ATO - but who knows ? Similarly on the subject of change over trains, it could be that South Harrow becomes a prep facility in the future, when the '83 stock is moved out. That would negate the requirement of 4 change over trains compared with the current Picc WTT. In summary, 92 trains does sound like a reasonable and realistic number based on the above.
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Post by plasmid on Jul 2, 2010 13:20:54 GMT
Well this is a TubeLines line and looking at the way the other two lines have gone with Moving Block ATO I wouldn't be surprised if Alstom were the preferred supplier as there trains would be easier to configure. Plenty of manufacturers (Alstom, Bombardier, Mitsubishi, Kinki Sharyo, and even Metro Cammell (RIP), etc) have built trains which contain ATO boxes for Seltrac. I cannot see any reason why the use of Seltrac will limit selection to a particular manufacturer. I'm sure they do, let's just make things as easy as possible for Tube Lines, we don't want another project going past the deadline...
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Post by citysig on Jul 2, 2010 13:38:52 GMT
If the Pick is going to be ATO, I wonder how it will share tracks with the Met on the Uxbridge branch? That will depend on whether the Picc still runs on the Uxbridge branch by the time all the various re-signalling projects have been carried out. Many of the plans for Hammersmith Control Room slyly include the Hanger Lane Junction to Rayners Lane branch as part of SSR, and rumours of the Picc concentrating on the Heathrow service have been rife for years.
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Ben
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Post by Ben on Jul 2, 2010 20:12:49 GMT
Whats got to be remembered is that before the service reductions of the 70s and 80s all lines opperated more trains, and mostly at a higher frequency aswell. It follows that any line which has stock from that period will (now) have less trains than ideal, the last order being placed at a time when there was less demand. So for the pic, forget the total number of 73ts trains ordered (87½). The order before that was for 1959 tube stock. That was for 76 trains, which were intended to (and did) run with 3 trains of 1956ts and 15 trains of 1938ts (plus a three car 62ts unit for the aldwych shuttle).
So thats a total of 94½ units (or as good as). Which means that the pic is seen as requiring in the future 2½ less trains than 50 years ago, despite passenger numbers being high now.
Of course things which complicate the issue are that the Pic no longer runs peak hours only to Uxbridge (extra trains required), Aldwych isn't on the map any longer (1 less train required), the extensions to Ts 4+5 (extra trains required), and the fact a unified fleet wont need as many spares (less trains required).
Another point worth considering is that the proposed 1952 tube stock order was for 100x7car trains for the Pic.
All in all, I'd say its (92trains) actually a highly unambitious proposition. Unless of course its only for a Heathrow - Cockfosters service. In which case the Holy Grail of 40tph might well be achievable!
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Post by Deleted on Jul 3, 2010 7:39:15 GMT
I'm sure they do, let's just make things as easy as possible for Tube Lines, we don't want another project going past the deadline... Making an assumption that a manufacturer that Tube Lines/LUL already deal with will result in a more successful project than a new manufacturer is somewhat naive! In which case the Holy Grail of 40tph might well be achievable! Due to lack of reversing points at the Cockfosters end of the line, I would think more than around 30-32tph would be very difficult to achieve.
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Ben
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Post by Ben on Jul 3, 2010 14:31:34 GMT
How would past schemes have achieved 40tph then?
Also wasn't there talk of a fourth platform at Cockfosters and something at Oakwood aswell? Presumably this has bitten the dust!
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Post by superteacher on Jul 3, 2010 19:19:10 GMT
Remember that the Picc running to Uxbridge off peak is more a matter of operational convenience than providing a service for passengers, since it allows trains reversing at Rayners Lane to have a longer layover, and thus recover from delays more easily.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 3, 2010 21:53:43 GMT
How would past schemes have achieved 40tph then? Which past schemes? As far as I'm aware the Piccadilly has never operated more than 30tph. Other lines have operated up to around 40tph, but this is with multiple reversing points, and higher capacity termini.
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Post by superteacher on Jul 3, 2010 21:58:03 GMT
How would past schemes have achieved 40tph then? Which past schemes? As far as I'm aware the Piccadilly has never operated more than 30tph. Other lines have operated up to around 40tph, but this is with multiple reversing points, and higher capacity termini. That was also before the Moorgate protetion was put in, requiring trains to approach terminal platforms much slower, which has the affectof reducing the maximum frequency.
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Ben
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Post by Ben on Jul 3, 2010 23:03:22 GMT
Its from Brian Hardys 'Underground Train File' for the tube stock that I got the info, it says 40tph in the central section were envisaged for the Pic with the 1952ts. Even minus Moorgate protection and the requirement to manualy check before entering non-passenger areas 40 seems a high number. Presumably there were infrastructure works planned aswell? Sorry I should have been more clear before about that Whats the future frequency envisaged as, out of interest.. 30ish?
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Post by Deleted on Jul 6, 2010 15:13:43 GMT
The Piccadilly line trains look in pretty good knick thanks to a good refurb. The Bakerloo line trains look far more antiquated. I would have put them higher on the priority list.
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Post by t697 on Jul 6, 2010 19:09:42 GMT
Its from Brian Hardys 'Underground Train File' for the tube stock that I got the info, it says 40tph in the central section were envisaged for the Pic with the 1952ts. Even minus Moorgate protection and the requirement to manualy check before entering non-passenger areas 40 seems a high number. Presumably there were infrastructure works planned aswell? Sorry I should have been more clear before about that Whats the future frequency envisaged as, out of interest.. 30ish? When I started in LT rolling stock engineering in the 70s we were told that the intensively used areas in central London were, or would be, signalled for 90 seconds headways (40tph with no recovery margin) so as to achieve 2 minutes (30tph) in the timetable. Central line ATC was supposed to deliver 33tph and the (cancelled) 1990s Jubilee scheme 36tph. As well as things like Moorgate protection, the use of much shorter trains (3 or 4 cars) probably made higher frequencies possible back in the 1920s. The rear of the train has left the station that much sooner! Short trains don't carry so many passengers of course so aren't the answer to total capacity.
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Post by Tomcakes on Jul 6, 2010 21:06:17 GMT
The Piccadilly line trains look in pretty good knick thanks to a good refurb. The Bakerloo line trains look far more antiquated. I would have put them higher on the priority list. I think similarly; the 73 stock looks and feels modern, to a passenger at least. I don't see any reason why it needs replaced soon; unless, of course, there is some mechanical reasoning.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 6, 2010 21:56:30 GMT
The Piccadilly line trains look in pretty good knick thanks to a good refurb. The Bakerloo line trains look far more antiquated. I would have put them higher on the priority list. I think similarly; the 73 stock looks and feels modern, to a passenger at least. I don't see any reason why it needs replaced soon; unless, of course, there is some mechanical reasoning. Even the '92 stock feels older than the '73 stock!
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Ben
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Post by Ben on Jul 6, 2010 22:16:41 GMT
Mike Brown was quoted the other week in the session the GLA has with transport officials as saying the 1973ts is the most reliable fleet TfL have at this moment in time. I'll have to find a video link.
But agree, the 72ts look and feel far worse than the 73s
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Post by Deleted on Jul 6, 2010 22:31:07 GMT
We mustn't foget that both the Bakerloo and Picc Rolling Stock Replacement Programs were largely (perhaps wholly?) drawn up under PPP, by 2 seperate companies - each with their own timescale and resources todo the necessary works. Piccadilly replacement is not scheduled before the Bakerloo because the 73TS is in worse nick than the 72s, but rather because Tubelines had a smaller Program of works to complete than Metronet, and could therefore dedicate the necessary resources earlier.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 15, 2010 10:22:16 GMT
and the (cancelled) 1990s Jubilee scheme 36tph. The 36tph was the ultimate capacity that the line could handle. It wasn't expected to run anywhere near that frequency for many years. IIRC, the plan was for approx 27tph upon opening of the JLE (which as we know ended up being around 22tph due to the signalling roll-back).
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Post by Deleted on Jul 18, 2010 9:38:46 GMT
Under the current climate, I wouldn't bank on any new stock for the Picc, in which case the Isle of Wight will be disappointed too!
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Post by Chris M on Jul 18, 2010 12:51:37 GMT
I suspect that if the Picc replacement doesn't happen then the IoW will take to some 1967s or 1972s instead.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 18, 2010 14:52:41 GMT
As far as I know the IoW aren't (weren't?) interested in 1967/72 Stocks. This possible use of this stock on the IoW has been kicked about for many years, especially when so much 1972 MkI was in store. So I doubt 1967/72 - but never say never ....
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Post by Chris M on Jul 18, 2010 19:42:46 GMT
I think it might be a case of necessity. As good as they are the 38s can't last forever and will need replacing. If there are no Picc trains on the horizon (I suspect that, if needs be, they could continue in service with LU longer than the 38s could remain in active service on the island) then the options would seem to be: - 1967/72 stock - not preferable (lack of cab doors perhaps?)
- new bespoke stock - very, very pricey, pretty much guaranteed to be a non-starter unless SWT find a philanthropist or two
- new stock to an existing design - can be done, e.g. the replacement C stock for the 7/7 units, and probably cheaper than new bespoke stock but probably not sufficiently so to make cost-benefit stack up
- add on order for 09s or the new Bakerloo stock if it's ready in time - cheaper than new stock but still not cheap
- gauge enhancement works on or rebuilding of Ryde Tunnel - expensive, but probably cheaper than new bespoke stock
- Closure north of Ryde St John's Road - political suicide I suspect, even if the rest of the line would remain financially viable
- Conversion to a tramway, bypassing Ryde Tunnel - not cheap, but would make extension to Ventor easier.
I'd say that the option of using the 1967/72 stocks would be the most likely by far. If the issue is with the lack of cab doors, would adding them be structurally possible?
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