Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 1, 2009 7:07:42 GMT
No direct impact on LU, but the Government has just announced the removal of National Express from the East Coast franchise, with it being taken into public ownership.
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Post by pakenhamtrain on Jul 1, 2009 7:18:27 GMT
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Post by Tubeboy on Jul 1, 2009 8:25:41 GMT
It will be re-let next year. Sadly it wont be nationalised for good.
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Phil
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Post by Phil on Jul 1, 2009 10:05:45 GMT
BUT: 1. Since it's unlikely anyone else will want to take it on in the current climate (and at the government's expected hoped-for price), there may be an impact on the cash available for Crossrail in the short term. 2. Under the government's own rules, ALL NX franchises may be 'called back in' at this point. Which means they could also acquire NXEA (Anglia) and c2c (LTS) - both of which are highly profitable and could offset the losses on EC. Good job they didn't win Southern then.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 1, 2009 10:14:28 GMT
The bizarre thing is that, according to popular rumour, Richard Branson is said to have 'sacrificed' Cross Country in a bid to win the ECML. He ended up with neither. I bet he is wetting himself laughing now......
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Post by max on Jul 1, 2009 10:45:01 GMT
No more NXEA. Fingers crossed.
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SE13
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Post by SE13 on Jul 1, 2009 12:31:12 GMT
Something doesn't quite add up for me somewhere along the line......
Why would HM Government take over a loss making Company, when they spent the 80's selling such Companies off.........
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Phil
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Post by Phil on Jul 1, 2009 12:42:59 GMT
Something doesn't quite add up for me somewhere along the line...... Why would HM Government take over a loss making Company, when they spent the 80's selling such Companies off......... It's called principle. If they bail out NXEC they know there's already a queue of other TOCs who are getting into trouble and will come cap-in-hand if this one gets more time/cash. And all the bidders knew the score when they put in those unrealistic bids, so the Government would be seen to be stupid (as opposed to...) if they now decide to go soft. For once I'm with HMG on this. So if they don't bail'em out they nationalize'em, as they always promised to do in this situation.
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Post by Tomcakes on Jul 1, 2009 13:02:56 GMT
I agree the Government were partially to blame - but ultimately, NX were as much to blame as they were. Since they took over the franchise, it has gone downhill fast - to the point where staff openly criticise it in front of passengers.
Indeed when Firstbus were rumoured to be interested, I was worried - but then again, the things they are renowned for (low maintenance, high prices, don't-give-a-monkeys attitude to passengers) already happened!
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SE13
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Post by SE13 on Jul 1, 2009 13:06:09 GMT
They did promise a mainline link from Lincoln to London a while ago, I suppose that will go up the tubes as well. The current one run by EMT goes via Kenya and takes an eternity, plus it doesn't go to KX much to my annoyance.
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Post by amershamsi on Jul 1, 2009 13:14:38 GMT
They did promise a mainline link from Lincoln to London a while ago, I suppose that will go up the tubes as well. The current one run by EMT goes via Kenya and takes an eternity, plus it doesn't go to KX much to my annoyance. while the lack of speed (only 100mph, rather 125mph) and via Nottingham and Leicester problem is real, is going to St Pancras rather than Kings Cross a problem? I'm surprised that the DfT mandated Lincoln-London trains before an open-access operator seriously considered them! What I don't get is the point of Lincoln-MML-London trains when there will be Lincoln-ECML-London trains.
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Post by Tomcakes on Jul 1, 2009 13:56:52 GMT
They did promise a mainline link from Lincoln to London a while ago, I suppose that will go up the tubes as well. The current one run by EMT goes via Kenya and takes an eternity, plus it doesn't go to KX much to my annoyance. I think EMT need a geography lesson. I emailed them to ask about cycle carriage, as I couldn't find anything on their website... "I wonder if you could tell me if cycles are permitted on your trains between Doncaster and Gainsborough (Lea Road)?"to which I got the reply... "Unfortunately we do not run any services between Doncaster and Gainsborough, however I can advise you to use our service between Doncaster and Lincoln as an alternative"?! For those not familiar with the area, the line runs from Doncaster, through Gainsborough Lea Road, Saxilby, and Lincoln...
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 1, 2009 15:02:52 GMT
What I don't get is the point of Lincoln-MML-London trains when there will be Lincoln-ECML-London trains. Think of them more as Lincoln - Nottingham, Leicester, Bedford and Luton Airport trains. Same principle as Peterborough - London Liverpool Street via Ipswich services.
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Post by amershamsi on Jul 1, 2009 15:33:10 GMT
however there were local Leicester-Lincoln services already - are Luton Airport/Bedford that amazing destinations from Lincoln? It doesn't add any London-Leicester/Nottingham trains, as they are extensions. Surely extending the Birmingham-Leicester or Birmingham-Nottingham cross-country train would be more useful?
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SE13
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Glorious Gooner
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Post by SE13 on Jul 1, 2009 15:43:42 GMT
I know it's only a ten second walk from KX, but SP isn't where I want to be, and previous to that, it was Euston, again only a short hop skip and jump, but when time isn't on your side.......
Anyhow, it's quicker and cheaper to change at Newark and go NXEC (as was)
Lincoln is just a branch line these days, and it shows! 100,000 people fairly much cut off from the real world.......
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Post by Deleted on Jul 1, 2009 19:42:39 GMT
The fiunny thing is I regulaly travel from London to Edinburgh and I have never been on a service since it has been managed by NE that has not had a significant number of people standing for almost the entire journey.
While it's a possibility that these were their most popular routes, it seems obsured as this was, excluding the Glasgow and Aberdeen services which are very irregular, basically the entire route.
It seems to me that NE got greedy and overestimated the profitability of the route when bidding.
For once the government has made a wise decision concerning a franchise! Let's hope which ever company takes it on, will manage it like Govia have since they took The South Central franchise from Connex. If that can happen, I think a lot of people would be much happier with the quality of the services and profitability would return.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 1, 2009 21:56:06 GMT
The fiunny thing is I regulaly travel from London to Edinburgh and I have never been on a service since it has been managed by NE that has not had a significant number of people standing for almost the entire journey. Ok just watched an interview with Lord Adonis. He answered my questions above. The NEEML business is profitable, but the payments the payments they were making were not being covered by that profit. In other words NE's forecasting did not anticipate a recession and assumed continual growth in passenger demand/numbers.
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Phil
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Post by Phil on Jul 1, 2009 22:07:44 GMT
In other words NE's forecasting did not anticipate a recession and assumed continual growth in passenger demand/numbers. Correct. But First Great Western etc., are also paying premiums, and are being hit by the same recession, but they are not screaming 'foul' and trying to blackmail the government.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2009 5:38:07 GMT
BUT: 1. Since it's unlikely anyone else will want to take it on in the current climate (and at the government's expected hoped-for price), there may be an impact on the cash available for Crossrail in the short term. 2. Under the government's own rules, ALL NX franchises may be 'called back in' at this point. Which means they could also acquire NXEA (Anglia) and c2c (LTS) - both of which are highly profitable and could offset the losses on EC. Good job they didn't win Southern then. I can indeed confirm that both East Coast and East Anglia are being naitonalised. No word yet on c2c, but I do suspect that that too will follow suit.
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Post by Tomcakes on Jul 2, 2009 5:49:21 GMT
I can indeed confirm that both East Coast and East Anglia are being naitonalised. No word yet on c2c, but I do suspect that that too will follow suit. Do you know something the rest of us don't?
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2009 6:00:03 GMT
I can indeed confirm that both East Coast and East Anglia are being naitonalised. No word yet on c2c, but I do suspect that that too will follow suit. Do you know something the rest of us don't? Sort of. NXEA is my local TOC, and also I over heard a conversation yesterday, between four staff members, one was telling the other three that East Coast had been taken over by the government, and East Anglia was likely, if not certain, to follow soon! I just hope all these cut backs are abandoned if National Express go!
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Phil
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Post by Phil on Jul 2, 2009 7:20:07 GMT
Do you know something the rest of us don't? Sort of. NXEA is my local TOC, and also I over heard a conversation yesterday, between four staff members, one was telling the other three that East Coast had been taken over by the government, and East Anglia was likely, if not certain, to follow soon! I just hope all these cut backs are abandoned if National Express go! In your own words "likely, if not certain,..". So we are actually no further on than Wednesday morning then: i.e. no official announcements, just the usual guesswork and rumours....
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Post by Chris W on Jul 2, 2009 11:47:51 GMT
Okay he's not ALWAYS right, but Robert Peston (BBC Business Editor) has posted a couple of interesting articles on his business blog. I could operate trainsExpress ExitFrom what I've read and heard reported, its my understanding that National Express didn't want to subsidise NXEC with the profit its been making from both NXEA or C2C. As Pestion says, will Lord Adonis try to make life difficult for NX now that he's refused to agree to a severance packagae of £100m. IMO speculation about the DfT snatching back both NXEA & C2C is perhaps a little too premature (I'm prepared to be wrong), but surely nothing will happen until NX default on their payments to run the east coast service? So in theory aren't the services being run by NX until they do default As Peston comments... it'll probably end up in the courts at a huge cost to us... the taxpayer... so instead of investing in our railways, successive Governments have wasted money on lining the already pretty full pockets of the legal fraturnity!!! I personally feel that railways should not be run either as an exclusive business or as a social service/function, but rather a cross between the two. Governments have proved that they are incapable of managing the railways (I am refering to investment rather than day-to-day running under BR) and the so-called privatised railway structure is creaking, if not cracking up. Perhaps its time for a non-profit organisation(s) to run the railways, in that profits are ploughed directly back in so profitable business areas subsidise non-profitable, but nonetheless essential services!
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2009 12:35:28 GMT
IMO speculation about the DfT snatching back both NXEA & C2C is perhaps a little too premature (I'm prepared to be wrong), but surely nothing will happen until NX default on their payments to run the east coast service? So in theory aren't the services being run by NX until they do default Certainly that's as I understand it - NX (Group) have (in some form) said that NXEC is going to run out of money fairly soon and they're not prepared (or obligated) to provide more - and the Government has said in that case, then it's end of franchise - but that will only be when NXEC do run out of money. While the government view is that NX should lose their other franchises, the problem that just seems to have been suggested is who actuallly has the franchises? - it isn't NX Group, but three separate companies (albeit all part of NXG - but legally distinct entities) - the other two of which won't be in default, so why should they be terminated? Determining the balance between these two functions is THE railway problem for the nation - and the railway's great problem has been the nation's failure to come up with an answer and bear its consequences. The real problem is that the Treasury's basic instinct is that it shouldn't be spending money, rather than that there is a basic public national infrastructure which it is for the government to provide and pay for. The basic model of railway privatisation to a large extent has been to come up with a complex means of moving money from the pockets of tax payers to those of shareholders...
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roythebus
Pleased to say the restoration of BEA coach MLL738 is as complete as it can be, now restoring MLL721
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Post by roythebus on Jul 2, 2009 13:10:33 GMT
Having read about this in the railway prees in the last month or so, there was some well informed debate on the question of the other franchises being taken away from NatEx, and the suggestion there was that they would.
In my view, the projection that passenger numbers would rise 9% per annum every year is rather pie in the sky. the infrastructure just wouldn't be able to cope with those numbers. In my days at Kings Cross in the mid 1970's, there was a Leeds train every 2 hours and a Scotland train every 2 hours and the system could only just cope with that! What amazes me is how it now copes with an express train seemingly every 10 minutes or less on the major route. But then there's less freight, no parcels, and very little ECS traffic.
I agree to some degree with comments by other contributors, that the way foward may be for the govetnment to take back certain responsibilities regarding the railway. They were quite hopeless during the BR period at planning anything, except wasting vast sums of money first on building new steam locos with a limited lif; a fleet of new diesels, some of which were succeded by the above steam locos; wating money reopening Thameslink which was closed a few years later when they demolished Blackfriars, modernising the drivers block at Waterloo in 1984 then demolishing it for Eurostar, the list goes on...
Back to the op though, it's no good companies crying wolf when the going gets tough. they've signed the contract for x years, if it gopes wrong, that's their problem. But, the public expect the service to carry on. There isn't a fairy godmother waiting there with a vast train set to take things over.
the person to blame for the cock up in the first place is the one who privatised evrything in the 1980's the Rt Hon member for Grantham, MH Thatcher. she's left a lasting legacy there!
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Post by 21146 on Jul 2, 2009 18:09:13 GMT
How nice that the former CEO of NatEXEC has jumped ship to a new well-paid job in the Middle East. The same person who was instrumental in imposing the "Company Plan" on LU in the late-1980s. Speaking about this in recent years, he was happy to say this was introduced using the "FiFo" principle on staff - fit in or f*** off. Maybe he's followed his own advice?
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slugabed
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Post by slugabed on Jul 2, 2009 19:53:03 GMT
The basic model of railway privatisation to a large extent has been to come up with a complex means of moving money from the pockets of tax payers to those of shareholders... Call me an old cynic,but wasn't that the whole point? And not just on the railways,but for much of government spending in general.......
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2009 21:19:54 GMT
Speaking about this in recent years, he was happy to say this was introduced using the "FiFo" principle on staff - fit in or f*** off. Maybe he's followed his own advice? Or the advice came from someone else on this occasion - and perhaps he was only given the latter option
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Post by 21146 on Jul 2, 2009 22:31:39 GMT
Speaking about this in recent years, he was happy to say this was introduced using the "FiFo" principle on staff - fit in or f*** off. Maybe he's followed his own advice? Or the advice came from someone else on this occasion - and perhaps he was only given the latter option I've always felt industrial relations on LU have never recovered from the Company Plan, with even staff recruited afterwards effectively being 'contaminated' by those employed previously.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2009 6:14:22 GMT
This is what National Express East Anglia have posted on their website:
"You may have seen reports in the media about National Express train services, and we want to ensure that all our customers have the correct information.
National Express is continuing to run its c2c, National Express East Anglia, and National Express East Coast services and we will continue to operate all of our services to current timetables.
You may have seen reports in the media about National Express train services, and we want to ensure that all our customers have the correct information.
National Express is continuing to run its c2c, National Express East Anglia, and National Express East Coast services and we will continue to operate all of our services to current timetables. All tickets and travel documents will continue to be valid and honoured, including advance sales and bookings.
Despite suggestions that the Government is taking over the running of the East Coast service immediately, this is absolutely not true. Further comments that the National Express Group has "financial problems" which have led to it "defaulting" on its commitments to East Coast are also not true. There is no default and National Express will continue to operate c2c and East Anglia services as it does today."
N.B. This material has been quoted directly from the National Express East Anglia website, the repetition was already present in the original article.
National Express could get quite a shock come the December timetable changes, certainly so far as East Coast is concerned! I am beginning to wonder if that franchise has a jinx, first GNER, now National Express, or maybe it is just that it has been run by two successive, equally incompetent companies!
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