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Post by Deleted on Apr 19, 2013 14:15:32 GMT
I would be happy for the Bakerloo to end at Lewisham, just as long as they cut it back to Willesden Junction at the other end. And cut all other tube lines that go beyond Zone 2 back as well!
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Post by Deleted on Apr 19, 2013 14:21:45 GMT
I would be happy for the Bakerloo to end at Lewisham, just as long as they cut it back to Willesden Junction at the other end. And cut all other tube lines that go beyond Zone 2 back as well! Yes, Londoners will support that in their droves. BTW why this obsession here with the Tube 'taking over' long established NR lines? Shouldn't the long-term plan be to bring the Tube up to NR standards?
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Post by Deleted on Apr 19, 2013 14:43:09 GMT
The problem is that NR is awful! The split between TFL and other organisation operated lines means that there is an almost us and them situation. Take two boroughs on exact opposite sides of London, Harrow and Bexley. Harrow has the Jubilee Line, The Bakerloo Line, London Overground, The Metropolitan Line (splitting in two at Harrow itself to serve even more of the borough) and the Piccadilly Line. What does Bexley have? Three NR routes operated by one of the worst operators in the country, who are "happy they have been given the opportunity to keep running their "great" service for another 5 years"! Sorry if I am a little bitter, but I hate the fact that a London Borough is being given a rest of the country transport service, and I hate Southeastern Trains even more!
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Post by grahamhewett on Apr 19, 2013 16:11:41 GMT
If I've understood the logic here, it is that I haven't got something (in this case lots of tube lines) then no one else should have it, indeed if they have got it, it should be taken away from them. I doubt if many people would want to live in the grudge society.
Turning to the more serious technical issues, the case for replacing NR services with extensions to LU is twofold: firstly, it removes what are basically unprofitable, capacity-consuming short distance services from the mainline network, and secondly, it offers better connectivity to (ie no NR/LU interchange) for many more passengers. The costs are of course enormous, but SE London (specifically the Dartford loops) offers a case where this might be done relatively cheaply and with the added bonus of reducing congestion at London Bridge. In the bad old days before Oakervee thought that it was a good idea to cut XR at Abbey Wood that would have happened. Sir Horace Cutler* has much to answer for.
GH
*He who sold the original Fleet Line routeing for a knighthood.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 20, 2013 17:19:29 GMT
I would be happy for the Bakerloo to end at Lewisham, just as long as they cut it back to Willesden Junction at the other end. And cut all other tube lines that go beyond Zone 2 back as well! Yes, Londoners will support that in their droves. BTW why this obsession here with the Tube 'taking over' long established NR lines? Shouldn't the long-term plan be to bring the Tube up to NR standards? NR Standards - what Standards? - Infrequent services? - Trains that take you to terminus stations which require an onward tube connection to complete your journey? Yes, I'm sure that's what Londoner's want. Crossrail is what national rail needs, to make a hybrid of national rail and tube, similar to the RER. Obviously cutting back the tube to zone 2 is complete nonsense so I'm not even going to argue against it. National rail needs to be upgraded to tube standards, with higher frequency services, and pan-London connections with new tunnels such as Crossrail, crossrail 2 etc. TSM
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Post by grahamhewett on Apr 20, 2013 18:07:02 GMT
@tsm - well said. One can only hope...
Graham H
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Post by norbitonflyer on Apr 20, 2013 21:17:42 GMT
I don't think many people would argue with the proposition that tube size vehicles with limited seating are not ideal for outer suburban work. NR trains are more suited for such services. The Underground (SSL as well as true tubes) has much better penetration of the centre than NR. Crossrail, and to some extent Thameslink and the Met and District main lines (at least with A or S8 stock and D stock) are similar in concept to S-Bahns or the RER, whilst the deep tube lines are trying to do the same job with "U-bahn"/"Metro" trains. (Without exception, all the original deep tubes were originally planned within what are now Zones 1-2, and were only extended into the suburbs later).
Had Thameslink and Crossrail been developed during the "New Works" programme I have liitle doubt that Epping, West Ruislip, Edgware and High Barnet would have been incorporated in those projects rather than extension of the Underground. We might also have seen the District, rather than Picadilly, extended from Hounslow to Heathrow.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 21, 2013 2:22:23 GMT
@tsm - well said. One can only hope... Graham H Graham - I think he meant gauging standards - dimensions of stock. And, given that NR services from outer suburbs can be vastly quicker than all-stops LU services, there is the element of a fast run into London with a change as a quid pro quo (or a good brisk walk for the health and constitution!).
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Post by Deleted on Apr 21, 2013 2:30:23 GMT
I don't think many people would argue with the proposition that tube size vehicles with limited seating are not ideal for outer suburban work. NR trains are more suited for such services. The Underground (SSL as well as true tubes) has much better penetration of the centre than NR. Crossrail, and to some extent Thameslink and the Met and District main lines (at least with A or S8 stock and D stock) are similar in concept to S-Bahns or the RER, whilst the deep tube lines are trying to do the same job with "U-bahn"/"Metro" trains. (Without exception, all the original deep tubes were originally planned within what are now Zones 1-2, and were only extended into the suburbs later). Had Thameslink and Crossrail been developed during the "New Works" programme I have liitle doubt that Epping, West Ruislip, Edgware and High Barnet would have been incorporated in those projects rather than extension of the Underground. We might also have seen the District, rather than Picadilly, extended from Hounslow to Heathrow. Agreed. Though one could add that 378s and S stock with limited seating are similarly not ideal. As for the New Works, etc, too many missed opportunities, penny-pinching decisions, short-sighted (and corrupt) politicians - enough there for a real "pity-party" !! The odd thing is that there was little preventing the GN&C being deployed for the Northern Heights - but the allure of the west end obviously won out! Thameslink already existed - but was not exploited as much due to inter-Company then inter-Regional (I struggle for a word ... ) disdain bordering on outright bloody-mindedness as fear of "service pollution."
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Post by Deleted on Apr 21, 2013 15:01:01 GMT
I understand that longitudinal seating means more people have to stand but my plans for tube in SE London mean that people would not be standing for very long! My plans envisage that Blackheath and Lewisham will be major interchange stations between Bakerloo (for Southbank and West End) and District (for City and Canary Wharf) at Blackheath, and Bakerloo and Met (for City) at Lewisham. Slade Green to Blackheath would be 17/18 mins and to Lewisham 20 mins. Crayford to Blackheath would also be about 17/18 mins and Hayes to Lewisham about 22/23 mins. And because these are the termini, these people would get seats anyway. So the longer you are on the train, the more likely you are to get a seat!
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Post by grahamhewett on Apr 21, 2013 16:30:12 GMT
dw54 - even once the Board had got its act together over TLK, fears of service pollution still persisted (and are still there even now). Given the intensity of the service in the central core, I suspect the answer is a different operating philosophy about acceptance of trains at key junctions. (See below for "amusing" comment). At least BR was prepared to take the plunge which is much more than can be said for XR Ltd - Abbey Wood is such an obvious major destination.... NR are if anything even more fearful of service pollution. In 2000, in the last of the Treasury's attempts to kill off XR, my then employers (and therefore me...) were commissioned to "destroy" XR in favour of Railtrack's preferred alternative which was to run mainline trains over the Circle. It didn't take much to demonstrate to Railtrack that LU couldn't guarantee to present a specific train to Railtrack's network at a specific time; Railtrack simply couldn't understand that line controllers, as a matter of course, could adjust the service in real time. At that point Railtrack abandoned their alternative project; this was also at about the same time as Hatfield and the combination of bombastic claims and incompetent unsafe maintenance brought about the inevitable; fortunately. GH BTW - there used to be a joke going round BR HQ at the time the Chunnel was opening that service pollution would now take the form of "wagon derailed at Haydarpasa on Monday, 08.17 from Dartford delayed on Friday"
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Ben
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Post by Ben on Apr 21, 2013 17:25:42 GMT
Talk about a tough gig! Theres being the Devils advocate, but thats in another league! Where on earth did you manage to start with justifying it? I remember it being mooted at the time, even then as a child it was clearly anything but a transport solution!
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Post by grahamhewett on Apr 21, 2013 19:31:47 GMT
In some ways it was easy - Railtrack hadn't actually put a case together - merely made a "political" offer to HMG. We started by looking at the operational aspects (there was no business case). The Railtrack idea was to run the GW suburban services onto the H&C at Royal Oak and then over the Circle to LST (shades of the Met until WW2). God alone knows what sort of commercial or economic case was supposed to exist. Getting rid of the operational case sufficed.
G
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Post by mikebuzz on Apr 21, 2013 19:32:27 GMT
Though one could add that 378s and S stock with limited seating are similarly not ideal. As for the New Works, etc, too many missed opportunities, penny-pinching decisions, short-sighted (and corrupt) politicians - enough there for a real "pity-party" !! The odd thing is that there was little preventing the GN&C being deployed for the Northern Heights - but the allure of the west end obviously won out! Thameslink already existed - but was not exploited as much due to inter-Company then inter-Regional (I struggle for a word ... ) disdain bordering on outright bloody-mindedness as fear of "service pollution." I'm not sure we should blame the powers that be at the time of the New Works program for a failure to provide money for projects. The scheme came along after the Great Depression and rearmament became a factor by the time it got off the ground, yet much of it went ahead. What killed off things like the full Northern Heights program and Central to Denham was the new Green Belt policy after the war (naturally progress on the New Works between 1939 and 1945 was limited due to the little matter of the war!). Considering the amount of expansion since the late '40's its a wonder anything got extended/built at all. The real culprits are those holding the purse strings who decided not to go with the Crossrail-style tubes and extensions set out in the various London plans and post-war studies. I don't think there was the interest in passenger services through Snow Hill after WWI, nor the demand. Naturally getting anything done once its mothballed has been an uphill struggle over the decades. Even London Overground just a few years ago was dismissed on thr basis it would be a waste of resources and largely empty. On this very site there were voices of dismissal. If South London gets its through routes via the central areas maybe long-suffering North London sardines could get full size trains and multiple destinations?
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Post by grahamhewett on Apr 21, 2013 20:23:59 GMT
Not to excuse the inaction by the authorities in the '50s and '60s, but the problem was seen at the time to be one of managing decline - London's population shrank from 8 1/2m in 1945 to 7 1/4m by 1971 and was then expected to get below 6m by the end of the century. This was deliberate as the new towns programme and then the Heath government's programme of dispersal showed. New schemes were difficult to justify against that background. We were lucky to get the Victoria and the start of the Fleet line.
GH
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Post by mikebuzz on Apr 21, 2013 22:20:46 GMT
Not to excuse the inaction by the authorities in the '50s and '60s, but the problem was seen at the time to be one of managing decline - London's population shrank from 8 1/2m in 1945 to 7 1/4m by 1971 and was then expected to get below 6m by the end of the century. This was deliberate as the new towns programme and then the Heath government's programme of dispersal showed. New schemes were difficult to justify against that background. We were lucky to get the Victoria and the start of the Fleet line. GH Yes indeed that is partly what I was referring to. It was the age of the New (and Expanded) town and the car and the era of 'moving out' (a social/cultural phenomena as much as a planned one). Money wasn't there for rail because the demand wasn't there and there were other things to spend money on such as modern shopping centres (not malls obut 60's/70's modernist open air ones) and roads. While relatively small amounts of money were difficult to find even for reopenings like Homerton station, motorways, by-passes and duelling of roads sprang up like there was no tomorrow and most of it was outside London. Here too it wasn't just about London's shrinkage from 8.6 to 6.3 million but about the difficulties of getting the urban motorway and renewal plans passed all the protest. We could have had the motorway box and no St. Pancras. I remember reading in Modern Railways as late as the mid-1980's a government minister's proposal (Stephen Norris? Or was that something similar even later?) to replace most of the rail lines in london with expressways. The Green Belt was very much before the defence of Covent Garden and the like though, it had its origins in the 30's and when urban rail transport was still very much in vogue. It's the reason why the Central didn't continue to Ongar as a properly electrically-powered non-shuttle through continuous built up area. Its the reason why London is not as populous as New York and as large as Tokyo. That is, unless you consider 'London' to be the traditional commuter designation covering c. 27,000 sq.km with a population of over 22 million, roughly the size of Greater New York (19 million) and Greater Moscow (18 million) basically a very big populous city with massive green areas. It certainly operates like one and should always have been considered in planning terms as one big entity.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 21, 2013 23:56:31 GMT
Not to excuse the inaction by the authorities in the '50s and '60s, but the problem was seen at the time to be one of managing decline - London's population shrank from 8 1/2m in 1945 to 7 1/4m by 1971 and was then expected to get below 6m by the end of the century. This was deliberate as the new towns programme and then the Heath government's programme of dispersal showed. New schemes were difficult to justify against that background. We were lucky to get the Victoria and the start of the Fleet line. GH <SNIP> The Green Belt was very much before the defence of Covent Garden and the like though, it had its origins in the 30's and when urban rail transport was still very much in vogue. It's the reason why the Central didn't continue to Ongar as a properly electrically-powered non-shuttle through continuous built up area. Its the reason why London is not as populous as New York and as large as Tokyo. That is, unless you consider 'London' to be the traditional commuter designation covering c. 27,000 sq.km with a population of over 22 million, roughly the size of Greater New York (19 million) and Greater Moscow (18 million) basically a very big populous city with massive green areas. It certainly operates like one and should always have been considered in planning terms as one big entity. Absolutely. Ergo Network Southeast. Effectively L&SEE should be a regional planning and administrative authority, but perhaps its boundaries need to be a bit tighter than Bournemouth and Poole!! Boundary towns/cities would probably (off the top of my head) include Southampton, Swindon, Rugby, Kettering, Peterborough, Cambridge, Ipswich, Harwich. It's the area we used to call (in the days of my studies) the "Metropolitan Economic Labour Area of London" wherein 15% or more of the workforce in the local authority area were employed within the GLC area.
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Post by grahamhewett on Apr 22, 2013 7:38:44 GMT
dw54 At the risk of going even further off thread, certainly by the late '80s, NSE saw itself as standing in for the missing "Home Counties PTE". It was very clear that with substantial percentages (40% of employed people in many cases) commuting daily from the Outer Metropolitan Area (over half the central London commuters came from beyond the GLC boundary by 1990) and quite significant numbers coming from places as far afield as Peterborough and Bath that London's economic hinterland went well beyond the classic built up area. We even went so far as to produce a summary of our plans for coping with the rise of long distance commuting - "20/20 vision" - that was so controversial that DfT ordered all copies to be hunted down and destroyed. Mine is still tucked safely away however. In fact, the trend has if anything speeded up. Even in the '80s, firms were moving back office work from London to the near ROSEland such as Southend and Basingstoke and this led in turn to more travel between central London and the surrounding area. With the speeding up of InterCity services, we found that places as far away as Leeds and Manchester became economic outstations of London (ie attracting many second order support services to London's financial markets, such as financial retail services). Britain is well on the way to becoming a very large city state characterised by a series of economically interlocked conurbations.* As GW and even EC bidders are finding, they are no longer facing a traditional intercity market but a outer suburban one, characterised by frequent stops and high percentages of daily business travellers. Splitting LM from WC was no accident (well, only a small one). GH *Actually, I'd go further and say that "London" stretches as far as at least Dublin and Edinburgh/Glasgow, where many firms relocated back office functions, call centres and the like in the '90s.
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castlebar
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Post by castlebar on Apr 22, 2013 8:47:03 GMT
.......but, 30 years on and an unintended consequence has emerged
Companies that once moved out of London, and 'took over' towns over 50 miles away, are now closing down, or "downsizing", creating blackspots of high unemployment. Swindon is an example. The I.T. age means insurance companies, banks etc, no longer need staff to shuffle paper in Head Offices (an example). So the local printers (as another example), suffer, two of them cannot repay the finance on the state of the art printing equipment they have just bought, and so it compounds as the printers lay off staff.
Moving population out of London has moved them to areas where there is now no work, and commuting from Swindon back to London (and particularly Heathrow too) is now a practical solution to the problem of being "shipped out" to what were once considered to be jobs for life.
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Post by grahamhewett on Apr 22, 2013 9:06:04 GMT
castlebar - I agree; matters are made worse by many of these towns being one-trick ponies; when that pony dies, what is left? The other side of the coin is what is known in the jargon as the agglomeration effect - you gather enough industries and connected sources of employment to give people in the area a real choice as to where to work without having to move or commute too far. So far that really applies only to "London" and to a limited extent Manchester, Bristol (another London suburb?) and Leeds. HS2 will probably reinforce this and come close to turning London, Manchester and Leeds into a single employment market over time. The real losers are the second string major cities - Brum, Liverpool, Sheffield, Bradford and those smaller settlements with nothing much going for them in the first place - Scunthorpe, Rotherham, Wigan and the like. GH
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Post by mikebuzz on Apr 22, 2013 12:56:08 GMT
'London' should be catered for by degrees depending on the definition and intensity. Nationally - or even internationally in the case of the aforementioned Dublin example, ditto as per Northern France commutes - there should be some planning recognition of London's very powerful status and I believe (going further off topic) serious support for the (partly failed) northern/Midlands (Liverpool, Brum, Leeds, Nottingham etc) super-city (c. 18 million) that is like a large Randstad (Holland) agglomeration but that's even more off topic. Suffice to say this aspect of rail planning need not be prominent in more 'local' planning.
More relevant (but still OT...) is the outer commuter area and surely anything non-radial in rail terms is quite acceptable be it Southampton-Portsmouth or Cricklewood-Acton. This area needs its own solutions and outer suburban rail could be the focus whereas the conurbation and Metropolitan area designations would focus more on inner suburban and outer urban - presumably just the one more intensive area would have a layer of planning if at all. Some sort of planning oversight should exist at some 'local' level even if its just in the form of continuous assessments. More serious considerations are for example attempting to extend the central area of London to the LO orbital/Stratford/Greenwich, maybe Hammersmith and Excel. We're talking urban planning that makes inner areas attractive to people as central areas and a part of this would be improved rail connectivity and accessibility, especially through regeneration where less costly rail infrastructure could be put in. For example, sending the Bakerloo through the Aylesbury Estate after a radical redevelopment.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 24, 2013 4:26:26 GMT
castlebar - I agree; matters are made worse by many of these towns being one-trick ponies; when that pony dies, what is left? The other side of the coin is what is known in the jargon as the agglomeration effect - you gather enough industries and connected sources of employment to give people in the area a real choice as to where to work without having to move or commute too far. So far that really applies only to "London" and to a limited extent Manchester, Bristol (another London suburb?) and Leeds. HS2 will probably reinforce this and come close to turning London, Manchester and Leeds into a single employment market over time. The real losers are the second string major cities - Brum, Liverpool, Sheffield, Bradford and those smaller settlements with nothing much going for them in the first place - Scunthorpe, Rotherham, Wigan and the like. GH l Back in 1982 approx, I undertook a study of HQ relocation for British Telecom International. IIRC, Swindon came in first, Milton Keynes 2nd. But it didn't go ahead because the MD and senior management couldn't agree which level to separate the London-based and decentralised organisation. BT's CEO wouldn't accept the MD/BTI being located away from London, and so on it went down the hierarchy. The GM of Maritime Services also had me look at his smaller bit of the HQ. In that case, Croydon came up tops. We were still at Holborn Circus when I left to return to "a land down under": a land of flies and pies; rusty rails; droughts and floods; Vegemite and BBQs; and Ministerial announcements and photo opps ad nauseum. Certainly the IC125s rewrote the commuting map. I'm well aware of people coming in from Doncaster and beyond; Rugby was not uncommon; Bath, etc. But the fact that I can participate actively in these conversations, despite being located almost diametrically opposite Britain demonstrates the contemporary possibilities. Only major drawback: I can't join the crew for a beer after an Open House or Model Rail Exhibition.
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castlebar
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Post by castlebar on Apr 24, 2013 8:13:17 GMT
.......and it is this diaspora to towns such as Swindon and Newbury in particular, coupled with the new employment magnet of Heathrow, that now necessitates direct rail access to Heathrow from the west, not just for the benefit of air travelling pax but for airport workers, probably via a new chord from the old GWR main line. This could actually create some 'windows' at Ealing for e/b traffic
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Post by Deleted on Apr 24, 2013 10:34:44 GMT
.......and it is this diaspora to towns such as Swindon and Newbury in particular, coupled with the new employment magnet of Heathrow, that now necessitates direct rail access to Heathrow from the west, not just for the benefit of air travelling pax but for airport workers, probably via a new chord from the old GWR main line. This could actually create some 'windows' at Ealing for e/b traffic Well, BTI didn't move in the end. The WRAtH plans have a business case based on 5-car trains. My gut feeling is that the reality will be standard 345s running via Heathrow - and no "windows" at EB. One question would be whether a station would be constructed to serve the Sipson area just north of Heathrow.
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Post by Ben on Apr 24, 2013 13:35:40 GMT
Sipson? Sipson is on the route of the existing line from Airport Junction, so any station would be underground. Do you perhaps mean Poyle, which is W-NW of Terminal 5? The only way Sipson would get a station would be if it was cynically built to serve T6/7 and the third runway...
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Post by Deleted on Apr 25, 2013 2:46:56 GMT
Sipson? Sipson is on the route of the existing line from Airport Junction, so any station would be underground. Do you perhaps mean Poyle, which is W-NW of Terminal 5? The only way Sipson would get a station would be if it was cynically built to serve T6/7 and the third runway... Yes, I meant Sipson - which was to be on a mooted figure of eight route - but lies along the existing line. Nothing cynical that I can see about it - other than cost. I'd hope a station around Poyle/Colnbrook industrial/employment area also would be provisioned.
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Post by thc on Apr 26, 2013 6:17:43 GMT
I'd hope a station around Poyle/Colnbrook industrial/employment area also would be provisioned. Provisioned? Gah. What's wrong with 'provided'? THC
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Post by Deleted on Apr 27, 2013 0:49:16 GMT
I'd hope a station around Poyle/Colnbrook industrial/employment area also would be provisioned. Provisioned? Gah. What's wrong with 'provided'? THC Nuffin'! Must've been reading too many "official" dox - my brain clearly was under the influence of DafT-vader forces!!
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2013 19:56:05 GMT
Officially now part of the Mayors transport plan.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 15, 2013 19:39:21 GMT
I came to London in 1970. I started work in County Hall, and this extension was the subject of coffee-time discussion even then. Someone is always plotting to extend the brown line further towards the bottom right-hand corner of the map, except when they take a time out to notice that the Camberwell Road would make a great tram corridor. I daresay it would. But there is a reason cities manage without trams, unless, like Amsterdam, they can give them dedicated right of way, in which case they might as well use...
But that's not why I've joined in the discussion here. I want to take issue with the suggestion that the tube is three times as fast as the bus. What an "operator's perspective"! I suggest that Graham Hewett takes himself from Mornington Crescent to Belsize Park (a journey I happen to know well) by both modes. What I won't do is bet whether the Edgware Branch can beat the 168 bus, door to door, or not. And both are through journeys, so it's a fair comparison.
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