Paddington Terminators Sept 13, 2012 23:44:56 GMT
Post by metrailway on Sept 13, 2012 23:44:56 GMT
The current service pattern planned by HS2 (from the document I quoted above) is 3tph to Brum, 3tph to Manchester, 2tph to Liverpool and 1 tph to Scotland. None of the services going north of Birmingham will stop at any Birmingham station.
I've used Euston - Manchester several times and I have generally found it dead and 3tph is really not justified currently. The reason why an Anytime Return to Manchester costs £296 is probably to subsidise the carting of fresh air every 20 minutes at 125mph! Although there will be an increase of demand with HS2 I suspect that they will quickly find out that there isn't enough demand and they'll stop most if not all at one or both Brum stations.
Bletchley Flyover was built in the 1960s and has been barely used for 50 odd years but has been kept in good condition. Without it East West Rail would not go ahead so you could argue that it was great that it was built. I would argue that it has been a white elephant for the past half century.
Although I like the idea of HS2, I do think that the current economic case for it is fudged. If the numbers don't add up when HS2 is operating, the danger is that we could see heavy cuts in services on classic lines to balance the rail budget.